Dealing with Climate Change Forecasts in Research and Analysis

Description

In this workshop we will explore practical techniques and insights into what climate change means for water models and allied analysis

About this event

What does climate change mean for modelling? Climate change is now integral to modelling and there is a full range of data assimilation and model ensemble tools available but, how do you incorporate this into your research and analysis?

Barbara Robson from Australian Institute of Marine Science (AIMS) will be joined by Ken Anthony of ES5 Environmental Strategies, to meet online for this 2-hour facilitated workshop alongside the QWMN team. Designed for HDR students, early career water modellers, or anyone with an interest in adapting their investigations, modelling and analysis to better incorporate and utilise IPCC and other climate information now readily available.

This interactive session will explore how changes in climate might change how you tackle your modelling. We will discuss:

• What represents an appropriate baseline scenario in the context of long-term change?
• Event attribution: how can we use our models to understand whether an extreme event is due to climate change, or might have happened regardless?
• Environmental forcing data: what resources are available to represent the impacts of climate change on the systems we model?
• Best approaches to uncertainty when talking with stakeholders
• Modelling for decision support in the context of climate change.

Dr. Ken Anthony will present:

Reef restoration and adaptation under uncertainty – informing decisions in a race against time. Ken is armed with recent modelling that has supported decisions for interventions to mitigate the impacts of climate change on the Great Barrier Reef.

Prior to this event, registered participants will receive materials and a series of questions prompting you to come prepared with ideas relating to your own projects. So register soon!

Dr Barbara Robson is a biogeochemical/ecological modeller of aquatic systems focussing her energy on helping predict ecological outcomes of change through the development and application of models to integrate and quantify links between hydrodynamics, nutrients, biogeochemistry and phycology. Barbara works closely with disciplinary experts in these fields, to ensure models reflect and help to consolidate process understanding. Barbara has worked alongside the QWMN team supporting our Innovation Associates.

Dr Ken Anthony holds three decades of experience in research science, environmental management, science leadership and senior management. In recent years, he has transitioned into the world of understanding and communicating how to sustain marine ecosystems and dependent people, in a warming world. Ken works as a conference convenor, workshop facilitator, decision analyst, modeller and writer, with Australian and international teams to combine skills in marine ecology, ecosystem modelling, decision science, business strategy and communication.